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Thursday, October 30, 2008
TRADING CALL ON OCT 31 2008
TRADING CALLS ON OCT 31 FRIDAY
Buy Hero Honda CMP Rs 769
For short term target Rs 810.
Buy Hero Honda CMP Rs 769
For short term target Rs 810.
Tuesday, October 28, 2008
UPDATE
UPDATE ON OCTOBER 28 AT 8 PM IST
* Copper rises more than 4 pct as short-covering takes hold
* U.S. housing data and short-covering dominates
* Equity markets rise as financial crisis jitters ease
Copper rose 4.1 percent to track equity markets higher on
Tuesday, as investors covered short positions and bargain
hunters entered the fray buoyed by stronger housing market
data in the United States.
Copper for three month delivery on the London Metal Exchange
was traded at $4,090 in official rings from $4,020 at the close
on Monday and compared with a session high of $4,185.
However, prices of the metal used in power and construction
have fallen about 50 percent since a record high of $8,940 in July.
* Copper rises more than 4 pct as short-covering takes hold
* U.S. housing data and short-covering dominates
* Equity markets rise as financial crisis jitters ease
Copper rose 4.1 percent to track equity markets higher on
Tuesday, as investors covered short positions and bargain
hunters entered the fray buoyed by stronger housing market
data in the United States.
Copper for three month delivery on the London Metal Exchange
was traded at $4,090 in official rings from $4,020 at the close
on Monday and compared with a session high of $4,185.
However, prices of the metal used in power and construction
have fallen about 50 percent since a record high of $8,940 in July.
Tuesday, October 21, 2008
UPDATE
MARKET PERSPECTIVE AS ON OCTOBER 21
The market action so far this week is quite a contrast
from the volatility that we have lived through since mid
September. Yesterday, the Dow closed up 3.4%, while Japan’s
Nikkei index was up 3.5%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index
increased 5.3%, Russia’s benchmark jumped 4.9% and
Brazil’s Bovespa gained 8.3%.
What helped support the markets yesterday? U.S. equities traded
at stronger levels on Monday as Fed Chairman Bernanke opened
the door for further interest rate cuts, and said that he supported
additional government economic stimulus. In addition to Bernanke’s
encouraging words, subtle signs that the credit interventions are
starting to work, albeit slowly, also helped support the markets
on Monday. For instance, there was a meaningful dip in the
LIBOR interest rate, which implies that banks are becoming
more willing to lend money to one another again. This is important
since many mortgages and credit lines are tied to this rate.
The positive tone in the markets prevailed and even amplified
this morning, although market watchers pointed out that
trading volume set a monthly low, reflective of investor
“skittishness.” But the rally didn’t last long and the markets
closed off a good bit. The Dow closed down 231 points, or 2.5%,
today on worries about third-quarter earnings. The NASDAQ
and S&P 500 also lost some ground falling 4.1% and 3.1%,
respectively.
Although there is a positive tone in the market, we aren’t out
of the woods yet. Be prepared for another eventful and volatile
week. Current conditions are likely to continue for some time as
markets try to digest macroeconomic and third-quarter earnings
reports, as well as get a gauge on the extent, effectiveness and
longer-term implications of governments' financial rescue and
economic stimulus plans.
So in the current economic and investment environment, what
sectors are ripe for investment? One area of interest is the oil
and gas sector. The prices of commodities have been falling, right
along with demand and economic output. This is making for some
relatively cheap shares of oil and gas companies. And some
investors want to jump onboard now…but I say, "Not so fast!"
It's a tough call on oil and oil and gas companies at the moment as
far as the near-term direction. For one thing, it's possible that
worried consumers may continue to hang on tight to their
wallets until they have more confidence about what's going
on in the markets. So I think we should continue to wait for
signs of a solid bottoming -- in the economy as well as oil prices
-- before making any bets in this sector.
The market action so far this week is quite a contrast
from the volatility that we have lived through since mid
September. Yesterday, the Dow closed up 3.4%, while Japan’s
Nikkei index was up 3.5%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index
increased 5.3%, Russia’s benchmark jumped 4.9% and
Brazil’s Bovespa gained 8.3%.
What helped support the markets yesterday? U.S. equities traded
at stronger levels on Monday as Fed Chairman Bernanke opened
the door for further interest rate cuts, and said that he supported
additional government economic stimulus. In addition to Bernanke’s
encouraging words, subtle signs that the credit interventions are
starting to work, albeit slowly, also helped support the markets
on Monday. For instance, there was a meaningful dip in the
LIBOR interest rate, which implies that banks are becoming
more willing to lend money to one another again. This is important
since many mortgages and credit lines are tied to this rate.
The positive tone in the markets prevailed and even amplified
this morning, although market watchers pointed out that
trading volume set a monthly low, reflective of investor
“skittishness.” But the rally didn’t last long and the markets
closed off a good bit. The Dow closed down 231 points, or 2.5%,
today on worries about third-quarter earnings. The NASDAQ
and S&P 500 also lost some ground falling 4.1% and 3.1%,
respectively.
Although there is a positive tone in the market, we aren’t out
of the woods yet. Be prepared for another eventful and volatile
week. Current conditions are likely to continue for some time as
markets try to digest macroeconomic and third-quarter earnings
reports, as well as get a gauge on the extent, effectiveness and
longer-term implications of governments' financial rescue and
economic stimulus plans.
So in the current economic and investment environment, what
sectors are ripe for investment? One area of interest is the oil
and gas sector. The prices of commodities have been falling, right
along with demand and economic output. This is making for some
relatively cheap shares of oil and gas companies. And some
investors want to jump onboard now…but I say, "Not so fast!"
It's a tough call on oil and oil and gas companies at the moment as
far as the near-term direction. For one thing, it's possible that
worried consumers may continue to hang on tight to their
wallets until they have more confidence about what's going
on in the markets. So I think we should continue to wait for
signs of a solid bottoming -- in the economy as well as oil prices
-- before making any bets in this sector.
UPDATE
POST MARKET REPORT FOR OCTOBER 21
The central bank's rate cut, higher global markets and
shortcovering on the stock market regulator Securities &
Exchange Boardof India (Sebi)'s warning to foreign funds against
overseas lendingand borrowing of Indian securities, boosted the
domestic boursestoday. But intraday volatility was high. The
BSE Sensex rose 460.30points or 4.5%, extending Monday's
(20 October 2008) 2.48% gain. Index heavyweight Reliance
Industries spurted. Tata ConsultancyServices rose more than
12.5%. Jaiprakash Associates spurted morethan 16% on good
Q2 September 2008 results. Tata ConsultancyServices rose
more than 13%, Tata Steel rose more than 10% andReliance
Communications rose more than 11%. The market breadth was
strong. European markets and some Asian markets rose as France
said it willinvest $14 billion in banks and the US moved toward a
secondstimulus package. Sebi has disapproved of the overseas
lending and borrowing activityof FIIs and the consequent selling
pressure in the cash market inIndia. The Sebi warning to FIIs
against overseas lending andborrowing came after the data
showed FIIs had lent equities worthRs 348 crore to overseas
entities for the purpose of short selling,during 10 October-14
October 2008.
The central bank's rate cut, higher global markets and
shortcovering on the stock market regulator Securities &
Exchange Boardof India (Sebi)'s warning to foreign funds against
overseas lendingand borrowing of Indian securities, boosted the
domestic boursestoday. But intraday volatility was high. The
BSE Sensex rose 460.30points or 4.5%, extending Monday's
(20 October 2008) 2.48% gain. Index heavyweight Reliance
Industries spurted. Tata ConsultancyServices rose more than
12.5%. Jaiprakash Associates spurted morethan 16% on good
Q2 September 2008 results. Tata ConsultancyServices rose
more than 13%, Tata Steel rose more than 10% andReliance
Communications rose more than 11%. The market breadth was
strong. European markets and some Asian markets rose as France
said it willinvest $14 billion in banks and the US moved toward a
secondstimulus package. Sebi has disapproved of the overseas
lending and borrowing activityof FIIs and the consequent selling
pressure in the cash market inIndia. The Sebi warning to FIIs
against overseas lending andborrowing came after the data
showed FIIs had lent equities worthRs 348 crore to overseas
entities for the purpose of short selling,during 10 October-14
October 2008.
UPDATE
MARKET UPDATE AT 1 PM IST
The key benchmark indices remained rangebound at higher
levels inafternoon trade. The BSE Sensex was up 322.15 points
or 3.15%. Themarket had pared gains in early afternoon trade
after a sharpsurge. The central bank's rate cut, higher Asian markets
and shortcovering on the stock market regulator Securities &
Exchange Boardof India (Sebi)'s warning to foreign funds against
overseas lendingand borrowing of Indian securities, boosted the
domestic bourses. IT stocks surged. Rate sensitive banking stocks
rose. Indexheavyweight Reliance Industries came off from day's
high.Jaiprakash Associates spurted more than 12% on good Q2
September2008 results. Stelite Industries, Reliance Communications
rose morethan 7% each. The market breadth was strong. European
markets which opened after Indian market were mixed, Keybenchmark
indices in France and Germany were up by between 0.91% to2.21%.
In UK, the FYSE 100 index was down 0.12%.
The key benchmark indices remained rangebound at higher
levels inafternoon trade. The BSE Sensex was up 322.15 points
or 3.15%. Themarket had pared gains in early afternoon trade
after a sharpsurge. The central bank's rate cut, higher Asian markets
and shortcovering on the stock market regulator Securities &
Exchange Boardof India (Sebi)'s warning to foreign funds against
overseas lendingand borrowing of Indian securities, boosted the
domestic bourses. IT stocks surged. Rate sensitive banking stocks
rose. Indexheavyweight Reliance Industries came off from day's
high.Jaiprakash Associates spurted more than 12% on good Q2
September2008 results. Stelite Industries, Reliance Communications
rose morethan 7% each. The market breadth was strong. European
markets which opened after Indian market were mixed, Keybenchmark
indices in France and Germany were up by between 0.91% to2.21%.
In UK, the FYSE 100 index was down 0.12%.
Monday, October 20, 2008
TRADING CALL
TRADING CALL AT 10 AM ON OCTOBER 21
BUY PNB AT RS.500 WITH SL RS.488
FOR SHORT TERM DELIVERY TARGET RS.530.
BUY PNB AT RS.500 WITH SL RS.488
FOR SHORT TERM DELIVERY TARGET RS.530.
TRADING CALL
TRADING CALL ON OCTOBER 20
Satyam Computer Services Ltd (Q2 FY09): ‘Quarter in-line;
remain positive’ CMP Rs266 , BUYTarget price Rs300,
Upside 12.9%
Revenue growth of 2.3% qoq in dollar terms was in-line
Healthy growth was witnessed in ADM services, TIMES vertical,
US region and amongst Top clients OPM decline of 100 bps
qoq was on expected lines; lower forex loss pushes net profit
growth Employee addition weaker than expected; FY09 gross
hiring target lowered significantly .More than expected
downgrade in revenue growth outlook but earnings growth
revised upwards in dollar terms .
Short-term negatives likely in the price; remain positive .
Satyam Computer Services Ltd (Q2 FY09): ‘Quarter in-line;
remain positive’ CMP Rs266 , BUYTarget price Rs300,
Upside 12.9%
Revenue growth of 2.3% qoq in dollar terms was in-line
Healthy growth was witnessed in ADM services, TIMES vertical,
US region and amongst Top clients OPM decline of 100 bps
qoq was on expected lines; lower forex loss pushes net profit
growth Employee addition weaker than expected; FY09 gross
hiring target lowered significantly .More than expected
downgrade in revenue growth outlook but earnings growth
revised upwards in dollar terms .
Short-term negatives likely in the price; remain positive .
UPDATE
UPDATE FOR OCTOBER 20
Central bank's repo rate cut provided a much needed respite
rallyto the investors which have seen a massive erosion in
their wealthin the past few days. The volatility was high and
the marketbreadth was weak, indicating a cautious undertone.
The BSE Sensexrose 247.74 points or 2.48%. Firm Asian and
European marketsprovided added support to domestic bourses.
Fall in interest rate boosts stocks as it results in lowerborrowing
costs for corporates. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI),today,
cut the repo rate, by 100 basis points to 8% with immediateeffect.
Repo rate is the rate at which the RBI provides funds tobanks
against the collateral of government bonds for a day to threedays.
Banking stocks and IT stocks rose. Satyam Computer Services
andWipro rose more than 8.5% each while Tata Consultancy
Services rosemore than 9%.
Asian and European stocks were firm as investors took comfort
inglobal efforts to prop up the banking system, allowing for
somebargain hunting. Trading in US index futures suggested the
Dowwould rise 141 points at the opening bell.
Central bank's repo rate cut provided a much needed respite
rallyto the investors which have seen a massive erosion in
their wealthin the past few days. The volatility was high and
the marketbreadth was weak, indicating a cautious undertone.
The BSE Sensexrose 247.74 points or 2.48%. Firm Asian and
European marketsprovided added support to domestic bourses.
Fall in interest rate boosts stocks as it results in lowerborrowing
costs for corporates. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI),today,
cut the repo rate, by 100 basis points to 8% with immediateeffect.
Repo rate is the rate at which the RBI provides funds tobanks
against the collateral of government bonds for a day to threedays.
Banking stocks and IT stocks rose. Satyam Computer Services
andWipro rose more than 8.5% each while Tata Consultancy
Services rosemore than 9%.
Asian and European stocks were firm as investors took comfort
inglobal efforts to prop up the banking system, allowing for
somebargain hunting. Trading in US index futures suggested the
Dowwould rise 141 points at the opening bell.
Sunday, October 19, 2008
UPDATES ON OCT 20 2008
TRADING CALLS
1. Sell HDFC Bank CMP Rs 1026 ,
Short term delivery target Rs 840.
1. Sell HDFC Bank CMP Rs 1026 ,
Short term delivery target Rs 840.
Monday, October 13, 2008
Sunday, October 12, 2008
UPDATES ON OCT 13 2008
OCT 13 MONDAY
Sensex crucial support for week is at 10239 , if
maintained a bounce back could be expected , negative
below 10239 , Target would be 9898.
TRADE RECOMMENDATION.
1. Sell Rcom below Rs 229 ,
Stop loss Rs 240
Target Rs 216 to 210.
2.Buy Can bank at Rs 165
Stop loss Rs 154
Target Rs 183 to 191.
Sensex crucial support for week is at 10239 , if
maintained a bounce back could be expected , negative
below 10239 , Target would be 9898.
TRADE RECOMMENDATION.
1. Sell Rcom below Rs 229 ,
Stop loss Rs 240
Target Rs 216 to 210.
2.Buy Can bank at Rs 165
Stop loss Rs 154
Target Rs 183 to 191.
Friday, October 10, 2008
UPDATE
MARKET UPDATE FOR OCTOBER 10
There is fear and panic on the stock markets. The bourses
suffered heavy losses today on the back of global sell-off and
on datashowing dismal industrial production growth in August
2008. The BSE30-share Sensex lost 800.51 points. IT stocks
suffered on downwardrevision in guidance in dollar terms by
IT bellwether InfosysTechnologies. Banking stocks were volatile
reacting to a slew of news such as cutin cash reserve rate, slowdown
in industrial production and fall ininflation. Reliance Communications
declined 21.02%, RelianceInfrastructure and ICICI Bank lost
more than 19% each andJaiprakash Associates shed 16.27%.
Securities & Exchange Board of India (Sebi) chief C B Bhave today
said there was no unusual activity in the stock market. He further
said there has been no shorting by institutions in cash markets.
Inflation based on the whole price index rose 11.8% in 12-months to
27 September 2008, lower than previous week's 11.99% rise, data
released by the government during trading hours today, showed.
Stocks fell across the globe despite worldwide central bank
measures to stave off a crisis. Bank bailouts, liquidity injections
and interest rate cuts across the world have failed to quell
investor anxiety with Asian stocks tumbling today, following
overnight setback in US stocks. Back home, the Reserve Bank
of India (RBI) toady cut the cashReserve Ratio (CRR) second
time in the week. The central bank cutCRR by 100 basis points
after 50 basis point cut earlier in theweek.
There is fear and panic on the stock markets. The bourses
suffered heavy losses today on the back of global sell-off and
on datashowing dismal industrial production growth in August
2008. The BSE30-share Sensex lost 800.51 points. IT stocks
suffered on downwardrevision in guidance in dollar terms by
IT bellwether InfosysTechnologies. Banking stocks were volatile
reacting to a slew of news such as cutin cash reserve rate, slowdown
in industrial production and fall ininflation. Reliance Communications
declined 21.02%, RelianceInfrastructure and ICICI Bank lost
more than 19% each andJaiprakash Associates shed 16.27%.
Securities & Exchange Board of India (Sebi) chief C B Bhave today
said there was no unusual activity in the stock market. He further
said there has been no shorting by institutions in cash markets.
Inflation based on the whole price index rose 11.8% in 12-months to
27 September 2008, lower than previous week's 11.99% rise, data
released by the government during trading hours today, showed.
Stocks fell across the globe despite worldwide central bank
measures to stave off a crisis. Bank bailouts, liquidity injections
and interest rate cuts across the world have failed to quell
investor anxiety with Asian stocks tumbling today, following
overnight setback in US stocks. Back home, the Reserve Bank
of India (RBI) toady cut the cashReserve Ratio (CRR) second
time in the week. The central bank cutCRR by 100 basis points
after 50 basis point cut earlier in theweek.
Tuesday, October 7, 2008
UPDATE
UPDATE AT 11AM ON 0CTOBER 8
The key benchmark indices slumped to their lowest level
in morethan two years on fresh setback in global markets
caused by growingcredit market worries. The BSE 30-share
Sensex was down 599.96points. The barometer index fell close
to 700 points at intradaylow. Reliance Industries (RIL) hit
fresh 52-week low. Among thesectoral indices capital goods
and IT stocks were the key losers.Sterlite Industries fell more
than 12% and Satyam Computer Serviceswas down more than
10%. Key benchmark indices in Asia were down by between 3.08%
to 6.63%today, 8 October 2008, even as central banks across Asia
stepped upto offer more support to commercial banks to try to ease
painfulpressure on funding costs from a vicious global credit squeeze.
At 10:23 IST, the BSE 30-share Sensex was down 599.96 points or
5.13% to 11,095.68. The index slipped 687.04 points at the day'slow
of 11,008.20, its lowest level since 9 August 2006. The Sensexfell
379 points at day's high of 11,316.24, in early trade. The S&P CNX
Nifty was down 177.70 points or 4.93% to 3,428.90. Theindex hit
a low of 3,405.80 its lowest since 13 September 2006. The BSE
Mid-Cap index was down 5.4% at 4,027.10 underperforming the
Sensex. The BSE Small-Cap index was down 4.23% at 4,765.92
outperforming the Sensex. The market breadth was extremely
weak. On BSE, 168 shares advancedas compared to 1,360 that
declined. 19 shares remained unchanged.
The key benchmark indices slumped to their lowest level
in morethan two years on fresh setback in global markets
caused by growingcredit market worries. The BSE 30-share
Sensex was down 599.96points. The barometer index fell close
to 700 points at intradaylow. Reliance Industries (RIL) hit
fresh 52-week low. Among thesectoral indices capital goods
and IT stocks were the key losers.Sterlite Industries fell more
than 12% and Satyam Computer Serviceswas down more than
10%. Key benchmark indices in Asia were down by between 3.08%
to 6.63%today, 8 October 2008, even as central banks across Asia
stepped upto offer more support to commercial banks to try to ease
painfulpressure on funding costs from a vicious global credit squeeze.
At 10:23 IST, the BSE 30-share Sensex was down 599.96 points or
5.13% to 11,095.68. The index slipped 687.04 points at the day'slow
of 11,008.20, its lowest level since 9 August 2006. The Sensexfell
379 points at day's high of 11,316.24, in early trade. The S&P CNX
Nifty was down 177.70 points or 4.93% to 3,428.90. Theindex hit
a low of 3,405.80 its lowest since 13 September 2006. The BSE
Mid-Cap index was down 5.4% at 4,027.10 underperforming the
Sensex. The BSE Small-Cap index was down 4.23% at 4,765.92
outperforming the Sensex. The market breadth was extremely
weak. On BSE, 168 shares advancedas compared to 1,360 that
declined. 19 shares remained unchanged.
UPDATE
OUTLOOK FOR OCTOBER 8
Considering the unprecedented carnage in the global
financial markets and uncertainty over the fate of the US
and other major economies, we would like to refrain from
giving any intra-day trading ideas. We continue to advise
caution at this stage.
Investors should stay on the sidelines till the global sell
off abates and markets stabilise. One should not get carried
away if there is any kind of a relief rally, as further selling is
expected. Any advance in Indian stocks can only be sustained
if global markets recover.
Considering the unprecedented carnage in the global
financial markets and uncertainty over the fate of the US
and other major economies, we would like to refrain from
giving any intra-day trading ideas. We continue to advise
caution at this stage.
Investors should stay on the sidelines till the global sell
off abates and markets stabilise. One should not get carried
away if there is any kind of a relief rally, as further selling is
expected. Any advance in Indian stocks can only be sustained
if global markets recover.
UPDATE
MARKET OUTLOOK IN NEAR FUTURE - OCTOBER 8
Are We Nearing a Bottom?
Last Friday, financial industry executives, Treasury
Secretary
Paulson, Fed chairman Bernanke, the Bush administration and
a majority in Congress all clamored for quick passage of the bailout
plan. Their goal: Rejuvenate the economy, re-liquidate the financial
system and prevent severe stock market drops like the 778-point
fall that followed the first failed attempt to pass the bailout bill.
While it was necessary for the U.S. government to take action to
support the collapsing banking system and financial industry, it's
clear that even a potential $700-billion bailout wasn't enough. At
least in isolation the rescue plan wasn't enough to allay fears of an
impending global recession. And it wasn't enough to stem the growing
financial stresses across the Atlantic, either. The metastasis known
as the U.S. credit crisis continued to spread to other countries and
regions over the weekend. European governments and central banks
even took the extraordinary step of announcing that they would
guarantee bank deposits, to no avail. So on the back of more bank
and financial services industry bailouts in Europe, as well as fears
that a global recession was inevitable, stock markets from Asia to
Europe to Latin America plunged this week.
Japan's Nikkei index fell to a four-and-a-half-year low and Hong Kong's
Hang Seng dropped 5% on Monday, which was then followed by 3% and
5% drops, respectively, today. European stocks were also down 4% to
5% in early Monday trading, while Russia and emerging markets'
stocks plunged 7% in the first 20 minutes of trading. Following suit,
the Dow plunged below 10,000 for the first time in four years on
Monday. At its low point during the day, the Dow was down
more than 800 points!
Easing the Sharp Financial Pain
Now, as we wait for government bailouts to have some positive effec
t on the financial system, other remedial actions need to be taken to
help alleviate even sharper financial pain in the meantime. Monday's
sharp global market declines proved that the rescue plan wasn't going
to be enough, in and of itself, to rejuvenate the world's ailing financial
system. Some are already contemplating what steps to take next...
There's speculation that central bankers from around the globe will
make coordinated interest rate cuts soon, . In addition, the recent
sell-off may prompt U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to
reconsider lifting the short-selling ban it imposed. The Commission
will meet on Thursday to discuss this very topic.
Discussions Abound
While the U.S. government is taking steps to ease the financial
crisis, revive the U.S. economy and renew investors' confidence,
the entire worldwide economy—at least as far as equity markets
are representative of it—is going through a painful and likely to be
protracted revaluation. Things have taken such a bad turn so fast
that the vast majority of investors have been caught holding the bag.
Are We Nearing a Bottom?
Last Friday, financial industry executives, Treasury
Secretary
Paulson, Fed chairman Bernanke, the Bush administration and
a majority in Congress all clamored for quick passage of the bailout
plan. Their goal: Rejuvenate the economy, re-liquidate the financial
system and prevent severe stock market drops like the 778-point
fall that followed the first failed attempt to pass the bailout bill.
While it was necessary for the U.S. government to take action to
support the collapsing banking system and financial industry, it's
clear that even a potential $700-billion bailout wasn't enough. At
least in isolation the rescue plan wasn't enough to allay fears of an
impending global recession. And it wasn't enough to stem the growing
financial stresses across the Atlantic, either. The metastasis known
as the U.S. credit crisis continued to spread to other countries and
regions over the weekend. European governments and central banks
even took the extraordinary step of announcing that they would
guarantee bank deposits, to no avail. So on the back of more bank
and financial services industry bailouts in Europe, as well as fears
that a global recession was inevitable, stock markets from Asia to
Europe to Latin America plunged this week.
Japan's Nikkei index fell to a four-and-a-half-year low and Hong Kong's
Hang Seng dropped 5% on Monday, which was then followed by 3% and
5% drops, respectively, today. European stocks were also down 4% to
5% in early Monday trading, while Russia and emerging markets'
stocks plunged 7% in the first 20 minutes of trading. Following suit,
the Dow plunged below 10,000 for the first time in four years on
Monday. At its low point during the day, the Dow was down
more than 800 points!
Easing the Sharp Financial Pain
Now, as we wait for government bailouts to have some positive effec
t on the financial system, other remedial actions need to be taken to
help alleviate even sharper financial pain in the meantime. Monday's
sharp global market declines proved that the rescue plan wasn't going
to be enough, in and of itself, to rejuvenate the world's ailing financial
system. Some are already contemplating what steps to take next...
There's speculation that central bankers from around the globe will
make coordinated interest rate cuts soon, . In addition, the recent
sell-off may prompt U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to
reconsider lifting the short-selling ban it imposed. The Commission
will meet on Thursday to discuss this very topic.
Discussions Abound
While the U.S. government is taking steps to ease the financial
crisis, revive the U.S. economy and renew investors' confidence,
the entire worldwide economy—at least as far as equity markets
are representative of it—is going through a painful and likely to be
protracted revaluation. Things have taken such a bad turn so fast
that the vast majority of investors have been caught holding the bag.
UPDATE
UPDATE FOR 0CTOBER7
The key benchmark indices ended mixed on a highly volatile day of
trade today. The BSE Sensex lost 106.46 points while Nifty rose4.25
points. The market swung between positive and negative zone
throughout the day. European stocks were green amid choppy trade
amid reports the UK government may be forced to provide funding
forRoyal Bank of Scotland. The BSE Sensex and the S&P CNX Nifty
both hit two-year lows inmid-afternoon trade today, 7 October 2008.
This was in contrast toan initial surge on the bourses that was triggered
by liquidityboosting measures by Indian financial regulators announced
aftertrading hours on Monday, 6 October 2008. Reliance Industries
recovered sharply from 52 week low hit today. Bharat HeavyElectricals
came off from the session's lows. The market breadthwas negative US
futures were up. Nasdaq futures were up 19.25 points and DowJones
futures were up 33 points. The BSE 30-share Sensex lost 106.46
points or 0.9% to 11,695.24.The index fell 299.85 points at the day's
low of 11,501.85, hit inmid-afternoon trade, its lowest level in more
than two years.
The key benchmark indices ended mixed on a highly volatile day of
trade today. The BSE Sensex lost 106.46 points while Nifty rose4.25
points. The market swung between positive and negative zone
throughout the day. European stocks were green amid choppy trade
amid reports the UK government may be forced to provide funding
forRoyal Bank of Scotland. The BSE Sensex and the S&P CNX Nifty
both hit two-year lows inmid-afternoon trade today, 7 October 2008.
This was in contrast toan initial surge on the bourses that was triggered
by liquidityboosting measures by Indian financial regulators announced
aftertrading hours on Monday, 6 October 2008. Reliance Industries
recovered sharply from 52 week low hit today. Bharat HeavyElectricals
came off from the session's lows. The market breadthwas negative US
futures were up. Nasdaq futures were up 19.25 points and DowJones
futures were up 33 points. The BSE 30-share Sensex lost 106.46
points or 0.9% to 11,695.24.The index fell 299.85 points at the day's
low of 11,501.85, hit inmid-afternoon trade, its lowest level in more
than two years.
Monday, October 6, 2008
UPDATE
UPDATE AT 11AM ON OCTOBER 7
The market regulator Securities & Exchange Board of India
(Sebi)'sdecision to lift restriction on issue of participatory notes
andthe Reserve Bank of India's surprise steep 50 basis cut in the
cashreserve ration triggered a rebound on the bourses after steep
losses of the past two trading sessions. The Sensex was up 351.70
points. Both the Sebi and RBI announcements were made after trading
hours on Monday, 6 October 2008. A recovery in Asian stocks following
a larger than expected 100basis points cut in interest rate by
Australia's central banktoday, 7 October 2008, and higher US futures
contributed to earlysurge on the domestic bourses. Rate sensitive
banking and realtystocks rose. Reliance Industries recovered from
52-week low. US futures were up. Nasdaq was up by 20 points and
Dow Jonesfutures were up 121 points. At 10:21 IST, the BSE 30-share
Sensex was up 351.70 points or 2.96%to 12,151.60. The index rose
253.92 points at the day's low of12,055.62, hit in early trade,. The
Sensex surged 379.73 points atday's high of 12,181.43, in early trade.
The S&P CNX Nifty was up 117.35 points or 3.26% to 3,719.70. The
BSE Mid-Cap index was up 1.63% at 4,415.10 and the BSESmall-Cap
index was up 1.29% at 5,152.80.
The market regulator Securities & Exchange Board of India
(Sebi)'sdecision to lift restriction on issue of participatory notes
andthe Reserve Bank of India's surprise steep 50 basis cut in the
cashreserve ration triggered a rebound on the bourses after steep
losses of the past two trading sessions. The Sensex was up 351.70
points. Both the Sebi and RBI announcements were made after trading
hours on Monday, 6 October 2008. A recovery in Asian stocks following
a larger than expected 100basis points cut in interest rate by
Australia's central banktoday, 7 October 2008, and higher US futures
contributed to earlysurge on the domestic bourses. Rate sensitive
banking and realtystocks rose. Reliance Industries recovered from
52-week low. US futures were up. Nasdaq was up by 20 points and
Dow Jonesfutures were up 121 points. At 10:21 IST, the BSE 30-share
Sensex was up 351.70 points or 2.96%to 12,151.60. The index rose
253.92 points at the day's low of12,055.62, hit in early trade,. The
Sensex surged 379.73 points atday's high of 12,181.43, in early trade.
The S&P CNX Nifty was up 117.35 points or 3.26% to 3,719.70. The
BSE Mid-Cap index was up 1.63% at 4,415.10 and the BSESmall-Cap
index was up 1.29% at 5,152.80.
UPDATE
MARKET REPORT FOR OCTOBER 6
The key benchmark indices extended steep losses of the
previoustrading session as stocks fell across the globe as global
financialcrisis deepened. A sell-off in index pivotals pulled
down Sensex by724.62 points today, 6 October 2008. US futures
were downindicating of lower opening of US markets. The Sensex
hit itslowest level in more than two years and the S&P CNX Nifty
hit 1-½year low. In a major development, the market regulator
Securities & ExchangeBoard of India (Sebi) today, 6 October 2008
, announced removal ofrestriction on issue of participatory notes
(P-notes) by foreigninstitutional investors (FIIs) against
securities, includingderivatives, as underlying. The announcement
was made shortly aftertrading hours. P-notes are issued by foreign
funds registered inIndia to unregistered overseas investors. Consumer
durables and realty stocks plummeted. Sterlite Industriesfell more
than 15%. Reliance Infrastrucutre and JaiprakashAssociates fell more
than 13.5% each. Reliance Industries (RIL)fell more than 6.5% while
Infosys fell more than 5%. The marketbreadth was weak as selling
was witnessed across the board.
The key benchmark indices extended steep losses of the
previoustrading session as stocks fell across the globe as global
financialcrisis deepened. A sell-off in index pivotals pulled
down Sensex by724.62 points today, 6 October 2008. US futures
were downindicating of lower opening of US markets. The Sensex
hit itslowest level in more than two years and the S&P CNX Nifty
hit 1-½year low. In a major development, the market regulator
Securities & ExchangeBoard of India (Sebi) today, 6 October 2008
, announced removal ofrestriction on issue of participatory notes
(P-notes) by foreigninstitutional investors (FIIs) against
securities, includingderivatives, as underlying. The announcement
was made shortly aftertrading hours. P-notes are issued by foreign
funds registered inIndia to unregistered overseas investors. Consumer
durables and realty stocks plummeted. Sterlite Industriesfell more
than 15%. Reliance Infrastrucutre and JaiprakashAssociates fell more
than 13.5% each. Reliance Industries (RIL)fell more than 6.5% while
Infosys fell more than 5%. The marketbreadth was weak as selling
was witnessed across the board.
UPDATE
UPDATE AT 1 PM ON OCTOBER 6
Key benchmark indices slipped deep into red in early afternoon
trade after trading resumed at 12:10 IST after 45-minutes stoppage
due to sun outage. The 30-share BSE Sensex fell below 12,000 mark
and lost close to 575 points at day's low. Many Asian markets were
down more than 4% each. The Sensex hit its lowest level in more
than two years while the S&P CNX Nifty hit 1-½ year low. Power
and realty stocks plummeted. Jaiprakash Associates lost more
than 12%. Tata Power Company and Sterlite Industries fell more
than10% each. Reliance Industries (RIL) hit 52-week low. The market
breadth was weak as selling was witnessed across the board.
Key benchmark indices slipped deep into red in early afternoon
trade after trading resumed at 12:10 IST after 45-minutes stoppage
due to sun outage. The 30-share BSE Sensex fell below 12,000 mark
and lost close to 575 points at day's low. Many Asian markets were
down more than 4% each. The Sensex hit its lowest level in more
than two years while the S&P CNX Nifty hit 1-½ year low. Power
and realty stocks plummeted. Jaiprakash Associates lost more
than 12%. Tata Power Company and Sterlite Industries fell more
than10% each. Reliance Industries (RIL) hit 52-week low. The market
breadth was weak as selling was witnessed across the board.
Sunday, October 5, 2008
UPDATE
UPDATE AT 11 AM ON OCTOBER 6
The market extended Monday's (3 October 2008) steep fall
on weakAsian stocks. Sensex hit its lowest level in more than
two yearswhile Nifty hits 1-½ year low. Sensex was down
313.50 points.Metal, banking and realty stocks plummeted.
Jaiprakash Associateswas down 6.5% and Sterlite Industries was
down by more than 7%. The financial crisis spread further to Europe
and doubts persistedabout the effectiveness of the US administration's
$700 billion USfinancial sector bailout plan. The uncertainty over the
nucleardeal with the United States persisted Condoleezza Rice, US
secretary of state, left New Delhi at the weekend without signing
the US-India nuclear deal. The domestic bourses also ignored
reports that the market regulator Securities & Exchange Board
ofIndia (Sebi) may relax norms of participatory notes. The market
also ignored fall in inflation and further fall in oil & commodityprices.
At 10:19 IST, the BSE 30-share Sensex was down 313.50 points or
2.5% to 12,212.82. The index shed 406.13 points at the day's low
of12,120.19, hit in early trade, its lowest level since 20 September
2006. The Sensex fell 241.83 points at day's high of 12,284.49, in
early trade. The S&P CNX Nifty was down 110.65 points or 2.9%
to 3,707.65. Niftyhit a low of 3,688.65, its lowest level since 3 April 2007.
The market extended Monday's (3 October 2008) steep fall
on weakAsian stocks. Sensex hit its lowest level in more than
two yearswhile Nifty hits 1-½ year low. Sensex was down
313.50 points.Metal, banking and realty stocks plummeted.
Jaiprakash Associateswas down 6.5% and Sterlite Industries was
down by more than 7%. The financial crisis spread further to Europe
and doubts persistedabout the effectiveness of the US administration's
$700 billion USfinancial sector bailout plan. The uncertainty over the
nucleardeal with the United States persisted Condoleezza Rice, US
secretary of state, left New Delhi at the weekend without signing
the US-India nuclear deal. The domestic bourses also ignored
reports that the market regulator Securities & Exchange Board
ofIndia (Sebi) may relax norms of participatory notes. The market
also ignored fall in inflation and further fall in oil & commodityprices.
At 10:19 IST, the BSE 30-share Sensex was down 313.50 points or
2.5% to 12,212.82. The index shed 406.13 points at the day's low
of12,120.19, hit in early trade, its lowest level since 20 September
2006. The Sensex fell 241.83 points at day's high of 12,284.49, in
early trade. The S&P CNX Nifty was down 110.65 points or 2.9%
to 3,707.65. Niftyhit a low of 3,688.65, its lowest level since 3 April 2007.
UPDATE
UPDATE FOR PREMARKET ON 6 OCTOBER
The market is likely to extend Monday's (3 October 2008)
steep fall on weak Asian stocks. Asian stocks fell today, 6
October 2008, led by shares of exporters, after a hectic weekend
in Europe as the financial crisis gathered steam there, knocking
the euro to the lowest in a year. Fears that damage from dysfunctional
financial systems in developed economies would almost certainly
push them closer to recessions, weighed on Asian stocks. Key
benchmark indices in Hong Kong, China, Japan, South Korea, Singapore
and Taiwan were down by between Germany gave blanket bank
deposit guarantee on Sunday, 5 October 2008, to prevent panic
as officials clinched deals to rescue Germany's Hypo Real Estate -- after
an initial bailout failed -- and recapitalize two other European banks.
US stocks declined in volatile trade on Friday, 3 October 2008, on
concerns about whether the $700 billion rescue plan, which was
approved by the US Congress would be quickly implemented and
whether it would be enough to shore up the economy. Dow Jones
Industrial Average slid 157.47 points or 1.5% at 10,325.38. The tech
laden Nasdaq Composite index shed 29.33 points or 1.48% at 1,947.39.
Back home, inflation based on the wholesale price index rose 11.99% in
12 months to 20 September 2008, below the previous week's annual
rise of 12.14%, government data released after trading hours on
Friday, 3 October 2008, showed. Inflation for the week ended 26
July 2008 was revised upwards to 12.53% from 12.01%.
The market is likely to extend Monday's (3 October 2008)
steep fall on weak Asian stocks. Asian stocks fell today, 6
October 2008, led by shares of exporters, after a hectic weekend
in Europe as the financial crisis gathered steam there, knocking
the euro to the lowest in a year. Fears that damage from dysfunctional
financial systems in developed economies would almost certainly
push them closer to recessions, weighed on Asian stocks. Key
benchmark indices in Hong Kong, China, Japan, South Korea, Singapore
and Taiwan were down by between Germany gave blanket bank
deposit guarantee on Sunday, 5 October 2008, to prevent panic
as officials clinched deals to rescue Germany's Hypo Real Estate -- after
an initial bailout failed -- and recapitalize two other European banks.
US stocks declined in volatile trade on Friday, 3 October 2008, on
concerns about whether the $700 billion rescue plan, which was
approved by the US Congress would be quickly implemented and
whether it would be enough to shore up the economy. Dow Jones
Industrial Average slid 157.47 points or 1.5% at 10,325.38. The tech
laden Nasdaq Composite index shed 29.33 points or 1.48% at 1,947.39.
Back home, inflation based on the wholesale price index rose 11.99% in
12 months to 20 September 2008, below the previous week's annual
rise of 12.14%, government data released after trading hours on
Friday, 3 October 2008, showed. Inflation for the week ended 26
July 2008 was revised upwards to 12.53% from 12.01%.
Friday, October 3, 2008
UPDATE
UPDATE FOR OCTOBER 3
Bearish sentiment prevailed today as key benchmark indices snapped
last two days' rally on weak global cues. Sensex fell close to 600points
at the day's lows hit in late trade. The barometer index hadrisen 459.92
points in the preceding two trading sessions. Indexheavyweight
Reliance Industries (RIL) hit 52-week low, falling morethan 7.5%.
Tata Steel fell more than 10% while Sterlite Industriesfell more than
8.5%. Ranbaxy Laboratories rose more than 4.5%. Themarket
breadth was weak.
The BSE 30-share Sensex plunged 529.35 points or 4.05% to12,526.32.
The index shed 583.06 points at the day's low of12,472.61, hit in
late trade. The Sensex fell 54.48 points at day'shigh of 13,001.19, in
early trade. The S&P CNX Nifty ended down 132.45 points or 3.35%
to 3,818.30. BSE clocked a turnover of Rs 4,767 crore today as compared
to aturnover of Rs 4,358.87 crore on 1 October 2008. Nifty October
2008 futures were at 3851, at a premium of 32.70points as compared
to spot closing of 3818.30. NSE's futures &options (F&O) segment
turnover was Rs 44,983.07 crore, which waslower than Rs 47,733.85
crore on Wednesday, 1 October 2008. The BSE Sensex is down 7,760.67
points or 38.25% in the calendaryear 2008 so far from its close of
20,286.99 on 31 December 2007.It is 8,680.45 points or 40.93% below
its all-time high of21,206.77 struck on 10 January 2008.
Bearish sentiment prevailed today as key benchmark indices snapped
last two days' rally on weak global cues. Sensex fell close to 600points
at the day's lows hit in late trade. The barometer index hadrisen 459.92
points in the preceding two trading sessions. Indexheavyweight
Reliance Industries (RIL) hit 52-week low, falling morethan 7.5%.
Tata Steel fell more than 10% while Sterlite Industriesfell more than
8.5%. Ranbaxy Laboratories rose more than 4.5%. Themarket
breadth was weak.
The BSE 30-share Sensex plunged 529.35 points or 4.05% to12,526.32.
The index shed 583.06 points at the day's low of12,472.61, hit in
late trade. The Sensex fell 54.48 points at day'shigh of 13,001.19, in
early trade. The S&P CNX Nifty ended down 132.45 points or 3.35%
to 3,818.30. BSE clocked a turnover of Rs 4,767 crore today as compared
to aturnover of Rs 4,358.87 crore on 1 October 2008. Nifty October
2008 futures were at 3851, at a premium of 32.70points as compared
to spot closing of 3818.30. NSE's futures &options (F&O) segment
turnover was Rs 44,983.07 crore, which waslower than Rs 47,733.85
crore on Wednesday, 1 October 2008. The BSE Sensex is down 7,760.67
points or 38.25% in the calendaryear 2008 so far from its close of
20,286.99 on 31 December 2007.It is 8,680.45 points or 40.93% below
its all-time high of21,206.77 struck on 10 January 2008.
UPDATE
UPDATE AT 2 PM ON OCTOBER 3
The key benchmark indices extended losses in mid-morning
trade onweak global cues. Reliance Industries fell further. The
BSE Sensexwas down 172.10 points. Shares of suppliers of equipment
fornuclear power plants were mixed after the US Senate on
Wednesday, 1October 2008, approved the Indo-US nuclear deal
with overwhelminglymajority. IT and metal stocks declined. PSU
OMC rose on falling crude oilprices. Ranbaxy Laboratories rose
close to 7%. Sterlite Industriesand Steel Authority of India fell
more than 7.5% each. The marketbreadth was weak. The Indo-US
nuclear deal on Wednesday, 1 October 2008, secured theapproval
of the US Senate which overwhelmingly voted a billrejecting all the
killer amendments and paving the way for itsimplementation. The
landmark civil nuclear cooperation agreement,entered into between
Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and US PresidentGeorge W. Bush
in 2005, secured 86 votes while 13 Senators votedagainst it. The
legislation, which has already been cleared by theHouse of Representatives,
will now head to the White House for Mr.Bush signing it into a law.
Most of the Asian stocks dropped today, 3 October 2008, on fearsthat
the global economy will worsen even if the US Congress passesa $700
billion bank rescue bill. Key benchmark indices in HongKong, Japan,
Singapore were down by between 1.39% to 2.12%. The keybenchmark
index in Taiwan rose 0.68% as state funds bought indexheavyweights
to boost the market. Stock markets in China and SouthKorea were closed.
The key benchmark indices extended losses in mid-morning
trade onweak global cues. Reliance Industries fell further. The
BSE Sensexwas down 172.10 points. Shares of suppliers of equipment
fornuclear power plants were mixed after the US Senate on
Wednesday, 1October 2008, approved the Indo-US nuclear deal
with overwhelminglymajority. IT and metal stocks declined. PSU
OMC rose on falling crude oilprices. Ranbaxy Laboratories rose
close to 7%. Sterlite Industriesand Steel Authority of India fell
more than 7.5% each. The marketbreadth was weak. The Indo-US
nuclear deal on Wednesday, 1 October 2008, secured theapproval
of the US Senate which overwhelmingly voted a billrejecting all the
killer amendments and paving the way for itsimplementation. The
landmark civil nuclear cooperation agreement,entered into between
Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and US PresidentGeorge W. Bush
in 2005, secured 86 votes while 13 Senators votedagainst it. The
legislation, which has already been cleared by theHouse of Representatives,
will now head to the White House for Mr.Bush signing it into a law.
Most of the Asian stocks dropped today, 3 October 2008, on fearsthat
the global economy will worsen even if the US Congress passesa $700
billion bank rescue bill. Key benchmark indices in HongKong, Japan,
Singapore were down by between 1.39% to 2.12%. The keybenchmark
index in Taiwan rose 0.68% as state funds bought indexheavyweights
to boost the market. Stock markets in China and SouthKorea were closed.
Thursday, October 2, 2008
UPDATES ON OCT 3 2008
OCT 3 FRIDAY
We expect our market to soften at the opening bell.
Key Indices may turn choppy later in the day as global
cues continue to determine the overall market trend.
We expect our market to soften at the opening bell.
Key Indices may turn choppy later in the day as global
cues continue to determine the overall market trend.
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